Mamoré vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
AMF
3 - 0
MAM
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 0
BOA
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAM
1 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 1
MAM
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 1
MAM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 0
BOA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 2
TUP
28%
27%
46%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 3
CRZ
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |