Mamelodi Sundowns vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 24
SUN
7%
15%
78%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 2
SUN
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
COS
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
SUN
28%
28%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 1
BID
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BID
1 - 1
CHI
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
BID
32%
28%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BID
2 - 1
PLS
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |