Mamelodi Sundowns vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
SUN
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
SUN
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 2
SUN
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
BLO
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
0 - 1
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BID
1 - 0
PLS
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
BID
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BID
0 - 2
PIR
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
BID
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
BID
39%
29%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |