Mamelodi Sundowns vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 0
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOU
0 - 2
SUN
6%
16%
78%
|
74 | 30 | 44 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
NBM
1 - 6
SUN
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
PIR
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 0
POL
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TPM
3 - 0
ASY
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TPM
5 - 1
BFC
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 6
TPM
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
TPM
8 - 0
LUB
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
TPM
6 - 1
DBL
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |