Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
1º
40
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 1
SUN
24%
29%
47%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
4 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 1
TSG
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MPU
0 - 2
SUN
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
MIL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stellenbosch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MPU
1 - 1
SFC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 1
RKF
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
SFC
32%
29%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
MPU
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |