CAF Champions 1/16
Global 4-1
Mamelodi Sundowns vs St Michel United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
THA
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
SUN
8%
18%
74%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
4 - 1
SWA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St Michel United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
COT
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 1
SUN
8%
18%
74%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
REV
1 - 1
MIC
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
STF
0 - 6
MIC
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MIC
1 - 0
PAS
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |