Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
GOL
1 - 1
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 0
TSG
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SUN
3 - 0
SFC
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SUN
4 - 3
AMA
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 0
CHI
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BLO
1 - 2
PIR
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MPU
2 - 2
PIR
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 1
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
2 - 1
SSU
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |