Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ROY
0 - 2
SUN
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SUN
4 - 2
ROY
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
SUN
3 - 0
GOL
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
SUN
4 - 0
AMA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SSU
0 - 1
PIR
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
PIR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
28%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
SWA
2 - 2
PIR
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BLA
0 - 2
PIR
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
PIR
2 - 0
BLA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |