Mamelodi Sundowns vs Mpheni Home Defenders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
SSU
0 - 3
SUN
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SUN
4 - 0
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
5 - 2
SIB
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 2
SUN
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 1
FAR
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mpheni Home Defenders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MHD
3 - 1
HLF
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 0
MHD
80%
14%
6%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MHD
3 - 0
JPM
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |