Mamelodi Sundowns vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PIR
3 - 2
SUN
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
COS
0 - 2
SUN
21%
30%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SUN
0 - 0
AMA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 0
BLO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 1
BLO
57%
24%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
SWA
0 - 2
CHI
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
SWA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MPU
0 - 2
SWA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
BID
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
SWA
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |