Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 1
VCL
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
KGI
0 - 1
SUN
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUN
55%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 2
ESP
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
SUN
28%
31%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
BLO
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 2
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
PLS
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BID
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
MPU
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |