Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
PLS
0 - 0
SUN
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SUN
5 - 1
BLA
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
3 - 0
SUN
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 1
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 1
BLO
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
28%
43%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
SSU
7 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
PLS
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |