MTN8 Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
SUN
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
SUN
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 2
SUN
20%
28%
52%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SSU
1 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
RKF
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 0
AMA
47%
29%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |