Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 5
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
PLS
0 - 0
SUN
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SUN
5 - 1
BLA
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
3 - 0
SUN
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SSU
2 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PLS
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PLS
2 - 1
CHI
30%
26%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |