Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SSU
1 - 0
SUN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
SUN
0 - 1
SWA
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
SUN
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 1
GOL
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
SUN
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 1
GOL
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VFC
0 - 4
GOL
9%
16%
75%
|
61 | 6 | 55 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 1
GOL
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GOL
0 - 1
AMA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |