Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SSU
1 - 1
SUN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 0
SUN
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BLO
0 - 1
SUN
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SSU
3 - 2
SUN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SUN
2 - 1
SSU
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GOL
1 - 1
PLS
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 0
GOL
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GOL
1 - 0
PIR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
GOL
2 - 2
AJA
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
SSU
2 - 0
GOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |