Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 2
CSS
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
THA
2 - 2
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SUN
3 - 0
GOL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TPM
3 - 1
SUN
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
BID
1 - 3
SUN
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
SUN
3 - 0
GOL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GOL
2 - 1
PIR
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SWA
1 - 1
GOL
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GOL
2 - 1
AMA
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |