Mamelodi Sundowns vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
5 - 0
PAR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 0
GOL
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 0
SSU
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 1
PLS
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MPU
4 - 1
FRE
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
PIR
1 - 0
FRE
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
FRE
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |