Mamelodi Sundowns vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
SUN
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SUN
2 - 0
MPU
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SUN
0 - 2
AJA
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SWA
0 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
SUN
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
AJA
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 2
FRE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
GOL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FRE
5 - 1
BLO
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRE
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |