Mamelodi Sundowns vs Bloemfontein Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 1
BLO
57%
24%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 1
SUN
31%
30%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SUN
4 - 4
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 1
BLO
57%
24%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
MPU
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BID
1 - 4
BLO
48%
27%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
FRE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 1
BLO
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |