Mamelodi Sundowns vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
PIR
0 - 2
SUN
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 2
PLS
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
BID
1 - 0
SUN
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
GOL
0 - 2
SUN
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
2 - 0
AJA
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
BLO
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
FRE
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
PLS
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |