CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
SSU
0 - 2
SUN
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SUN
2 - 0
DMA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SUN
2 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
BLA
0 - 4
SUN
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
GHA
0 - 0
ALA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 0
HIG
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALM
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
HIG
0 - 0
ALA
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
ALT
2 - 3
ALA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |