Malters vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
MAL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
ESC
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 1
GUN
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ASC
6 - 2
BUO
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 3
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |