Malta U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
LTU
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
2 - 2
UKR
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 2
FIN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 4
SVN
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 2
MLT
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
LTU
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 0
NED
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |