Malta U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
MLT
2 - 1
BIH
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ROU
4 - 0
MLT
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 1
MLT
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MLT
0 - 2
FRA
11%
20%
69%
|
36 | 82 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BIH
4 - 0
MLT
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
4 - 2
FRA
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
4 - 0
BIH
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 1
MLT
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
1 - 0
WAL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
3 - 4
WAL
73%
16%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |