Qualif. Champions 2da Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Malmö FF vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MFF
2 - 2
ORE
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
MFF
1 - 0
SLI
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
MFF
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
MFF
1 - 1
DJU
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
GEF
1 - 2
MFF
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ZAL
3 - 0
DNM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
UUT
0 - 3
ZAL
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 2
ZAL
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
KRU
2 - 2
ZAL
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 2
ZAL
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |