Malmö FF vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 8
MFF
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 2
FAL
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 0
OIF
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 0
MFF
59%
20%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
DAL
1 - 4
MFF
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 4
OIF
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
VAR
8%
14%
78%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 3
VAR
45%
22%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
TVA
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 3
HEL
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |