Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
Malmö FF vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TIR
0 - 3
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
GÖT
0 - 1
MFF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
APO
2 - 1
MFF
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
MFF
3 - 0
AIK
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
MFF
6 - 0
APO
68%
17%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TIR
0 - 3
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
DBU
1 - 2
TIR
80%
12%
9%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
TIR
1 - 0
DBU
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
TIR
2 - 1
HIF
36%
22%
42%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
HIF
4 - 0
TIR
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |