Malmö FF vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
1º
1º
34
3º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 60 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 51 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 51 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 31 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
90.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
4 - 1
KLA
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 4
MFF
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
MFF
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
5 - 1
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 2
MFF
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 4
MFF
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
GAI
53%
23%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MJÄ
3 - 2
SIR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 2
DJU
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIR
5 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |