Champions League 1/16
Global 1-0
Malmö FF vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
KAL
0 - 0
MFF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
MFF
0 - 0
DJU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
HIF
1 - 0
MFF
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1978 |
MFF
1 - 2
OIF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
VAS
2 - 1
MFF
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
MON
6 - 1
NIC
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
4 - 1
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
STB
2 - 0
MON
58%
19%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
PFC
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
44%
24%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |