Champions League 1/16
Global 3-5
Malmö FF vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ORG
0 - 5
MFF
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
MFF
1 - 0
ATV
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
OIF
4 - 1
MFF
29%
21%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
MFF
1 - 1
DJU
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1968 |
ORE
2 - 1
MFF
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ASS
0 - 3
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 0
TER
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1968 |
ACM
4 - 2
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
ACM
2 - 1
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |