Qualif. Champions Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Malmö FF vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 3
GÖT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
GLA
1 - 2
MFF
46%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAL
0 - 0
MFF
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 1
GLA
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 2
MFF
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 2
OLP
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
OLP
1 - 1
LUD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
LUD
3 - 1
NSM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
LPL
1 - 3
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |