Champions League 1/16
Global 5-8
Malmö FF vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
AIK
1 - 3
MFF
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
MFF
4 - 1
GAI
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1964 |
LSO
8 - 3
MFF
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
MFF
0 - 2
DEG
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1964 |
ESK
1 - 2
MFF
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
LSO
2 - 1
LPL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
DUN
0 - 3
LSO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
LSO
3 - 1
SSO
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
LSO
2 - 2
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1964 |
LSO
8 - 3
MFF
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +2 |