Europa League 1/32
Global 3-4
Malmö FF vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MFF
1 - 0
OIF
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1977 |
NOR
2 - 2
MFF
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1977 |
GÖT
0 - 1
MFF
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LEN
4 - 1
MFF
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MFF
3 - 1
DJU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
VAL
3 - 3
LEN
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
LEN
3 - 1
NIC
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
LEN
4 - 1
MFF
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
NÎM
2 - 1
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
LEN
5 - 1
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |