Malmö FF vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
1º
1º
24
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 52 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 43 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 2
GLA
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MFF
4 - 0
HÄC
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 0
MFF
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AIK
0 - 0
MFF
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MFF
4 - 0
DJU
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MJÄ
1 - 1
IFK
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 0
VAS
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
IFK
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 1
AIK
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 1
IFK
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |