Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Malmö FF vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
FCR
0 - 0
MFF
23%
21%
56%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
MFF
0 - 0
DJU
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
MFF
3 - 1
FCR
84%
10%
5%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
NOR
3 - 3
MFF
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
HIF
0 - 5
MFF
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1974 |
FTC
0 - 0
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 1
FTC
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
CAR
1 - 4
FTC
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
FTC
2 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
GWA
2 - 1
FTC
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |