Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 4-0
Malmö FF vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
MFF
1 - 0
HIF
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
ORE
5 - 0
MFF
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
DUN
0 - 2
MFF
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
FRO
0 - 0
MFF
35%
27%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1995 |
MFF
3 - 1
FRO
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
DUN
0 - 2
MFF
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
DUN
2 - 0
GAL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1995 |
DUN
1 - 0
ATH
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
SLR
0 - 1
DUN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
CAO
0 - 1
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |