Malmö FF vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
MET
3 - 1
MFF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ORE
1 - 2
MFF
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
MFF
1 - 4
MET
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
MFF
1 - 0
SYR
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MFF
1 - 0
DJU
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 0
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 0
ADO
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 2
AZA
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |