Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Malmö FF vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
MFF
1 - 0
HIF
61%
24%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
AUS
0 - 0
MFF
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
MFF
4 - 1
WIS
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
WIS
2 - 1
MFF
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
MFF
2 - 0
DYN
33%
27%
41%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
AUS
3 - 1
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1979 |
VIE
1 - 2
AUS
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
AUS
0 - 0
MFF
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AUS
0 - 0
RBS
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
SSW
1 - 1
AUS
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |