MPS vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 0
MPS
27%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MIK
5 - 1
MPS
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MPS
1 - 6
ATL
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 1
MPS
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MPS
2 - 2
KLU
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PEP
0 - 6
KUO
7%
13%
80%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FUT
2 - 0
PEP
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PEP
1 - 4
HIF
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ACV
2 - 2
PEP
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PEP
3 - 1
CIS
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |