MPS vs Gnistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MPS
0 - 2
KOO
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MPS
0 - 4
FCK
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
HYP
0 - 1
MPS
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MPS
1 - 5
CIS
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
KAP
3 - 1
MPS
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
GNI
4 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GNI
2 - 6
KUO
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GNI
3 - 0
SUD
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GNI
7 - 1
WJK
63%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LPS
1 - 3
GNI
42%
25%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |