Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Mallorca vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VCF
1 - 2
MLL
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MLL
0 - 1
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 1
MLL
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MLL
2 - 0
RSO
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
ATH
3 - 0
MLL
42%
26%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GET
3 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
SEV
19%
23%
57%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 2
SPO
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
VCF
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |