Europa League 1/16
Global 3-1
Mallorca vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 3
MLL
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
OSA
1 - 1
MLL
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SEV
3 - 0
MLL
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 3
MLL
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
DBU
3 - 1
SPA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
4 - 0
DBU
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 2
FKM
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ALA
3 - 0
SPA
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |