Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-0
Mallorca vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
MLL
3 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
MEL
0 - 1
MLL
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
MLL
1 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
IND
0 - 3
MLL
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
MLL
1 - 1
MAL
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
17%
24%
59%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
SEV
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
UDL
4 - 1
SEV
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
LEV
3 - 2
SEV
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |