Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-4
Mallorca vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
RMA
3 - 1
MLL
89%
8%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
MLL
0 - 2
VAD
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
RMC
2 - 0
MLL
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
RSO
1 - 0
MLL
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
MLL
3 - 3
MUR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
HER
1 - 3
RMC
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
RMC
0 - 0
XER
73%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
RMC
2 - 0
MLL
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
REC
1 - 4
RMC
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
RMC
4 - 0
CCF
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |