Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
Mallorca vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
UES
1 - 1
MLL
34%
31%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
MLL
3 - 0
PUE
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
BET
2 - 0
MLL
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
MLL
2 - 1
BUR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
OVI
0 - 1
MLL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
IMP
0 - 2
MUR
25%
29%
47%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
JOV
1 - 2
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
MUR
4 - 0
MER
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
MEL
0 - 0
MUR
25%
29%
46%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |