Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Mallorca vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ALA
0 - 1
MLL
36%
31%
34%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
MLL
1 - 0
ADC
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
CON
1 - 1
MLL
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 2
MLL
48%
27%
25%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MLL
5 - 2
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CON
1 - 0
AND
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
FLN
0 - 0
CON
39%
30%
31%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
CON
1 - 1
MLL
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CON
2 - 0
CDE
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MLL
5 - 2
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |