Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Mallorca vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
ESP
6 - 1
MLL
77%
14%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
MLL
1 - 7
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
MLL
1 - 2
RSG
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
RSG
5 - 1
MLL
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
OVI
2 - 2
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
4 - 1
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
SEV
3 - 1
CAS
67%
17%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
2 - 1
DEP
56%
21%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
SPO
7 - 2
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |