Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Mallorca B vs At. Granadilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LLO
2 - 1
MLL
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MLL
0 - 0
MNU
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
MLL
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MLL
1 - 0
CAM
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
MLL
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
At. Granadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SDT
1 - 3
CAG
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CAG
3 - 0
RSI
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 2
CAG
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAG
6 - 1
REA
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 1
CAG
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |