Mali vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
COD
1 - 1
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CMR
1 - 0
MLI
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 0
MLI
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 0
MLI
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
MLI
3 - 1
COD
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 1
ZIM
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ZIM
0 - 1
NIG
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
MOZ
1 - 3
ZIM
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CPV
44%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |